Research

What actually drives influencer results, across 251 studies

Influencer MarketingAugust 28, 20265 min read

The paper we are reading

Free to read

Influencer marketing effectiveness: A meta-analytic review

Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science · 2025 · 53(1), 52-78

Pan, M., Blut, M., Ghiassaleh, A., Lee, Z. W. Y. (2025). Influencer marketing effectiveness: A meta-analytic review. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 53(1), 52-78.

Open access under CC BY. Free to read and download.

DOI: 10.1007/s11747-024-01052-7

What they found

The things that drive attention are not the things that drive purchase. For attitudes and engagement, how much the audience identifies with the creator mattered most. For purchase intention, the qualities of the post itself — how informative it was, how enjoyable — mattered more. For actual purchases and sales, how the influencer communicates mattered most. Those effects run partly through two gates: whether the audience recognises the post as advertising, and whether they find the source credible.

How they tested it

A meta-analysis: rather than running a new study, the authors pooled the results of studies already published. 1,531 effect sizes drawn from 251 papers, organised around the persuasion knowledge model, separating non-transactional outcomes (attitude, engagement, purchase intention) from transactional ones (purchase behaviour, sales). They also tested where the effects change — by platform type and by product type.

What it does not show

A meta-analysis inherits the biases of what it pools. Published research skews toward findings that worked, toward experiments on students and survey panels rather than live campaigns, and heavily toward Instagram and toward Western and Chinese samples. Transactional outcomes — the ones a client actually pays for — are studied far less often than attitude measures, so the evidence is thinnest exactly where the commercial stakes are highest. It reports averages across studies; your category can sit far from the average.

Our reading

One brief, three different jobs

The most useful thing in this paper is not any single effect size. It is the split. Attitude, engagement, purchase intention and actual sales do not respond to the same levers, and a brief that asks for all four at once is asking the creator to optimise in four directions.

  • Want engagement and brand warmth? The audience has to see themselves in the creator. That is a casting decision, and it is about audience fit, not reach.
  • Want purchase intention? The post has to carry real information or real enjoyment. That is a content decision, and it is where most sponsored posts are weakest — a product held up next to a face is neither.
  • Want sales? How the creator talks about the thing does the heavy lifting. That is a briefing decision, and it usually means giving up control of the words.

Decide which one you are buying. Campaigns that fail often fail because nobody did.

Recognition is not the enemy

The paper routes effects through persuasion knowledge — whether the audience clocks the post as an ad — and through source credibility. That pairing matters more than it sounds.

Audiences already know. Disclosure labels are mandatory in most markets and audiences have got fast at spotting sponsorship regardless. The recoverable variable is not whether they notice; it is whether they trust the person anyway. Which is an argument for creators who turn brands down, and against the roster that promotes something new every week.

What we changed because of it

We stopped writing briefs that list five objectives. We now name one primary outcome per campaign and cast against that one. Where a client genuinely needs both reach-and-warmth and conversion, that is two sets of creators, not one set asked to do both.

Read it with the ceiling in mind

This is a synthesis of academic studies, not of campaign data. Most of the underlying work is experimental — people shown a post in a controlled setting — and those settings systematically overstate attention compared to a real feed, where the post competes with everything else and is gone in a second.

Treat it as a map of which levers exist and roughly how they rank. Do not treat the effect sizes as forecasts for your next campaign. And note where the evidence is thin: the further you move toward money changing hands, the fewer studies there are, which is a fair description of the whole field.

The study above is the work of its authors and is not ours. The summary and commentary on this page are written by Big Bang Story and are our interpretation, not the authors’. We do not host copies of other people’s papers — read it at the source.

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